
It's hard to believe that the computer mouse is that old. What's even more amazing is that many of the "new" technologies that we use were created in the late 60's. Not only the computer mouse, but the Internet (which was called the Arpanet back then) was also created in 1968 (or '69--depends on whether you count the IDEA or the IMPLEMENTATION as the creation date). Email is even older than that, having been created simultaneously by several researches in 1965.
It's just amazing to me that these "new" technologies are so old. I like to think that I have some foresight into the future, but I could never have predicted in the 1960's that computing would look the way it does now. Never mind that I was less than 2 years old at the end of the 1960's--I'm not talking about that. I'm just saying that I can't see that far into the future.
But some people could. Specifically, one of the guys I am most impressed by is J.C.R. Licklider, who ran ARPA in the early to mid 1960's. He wrote a paper in 1968 predicting how computers would be used by ordinary people to make their lives more productive. Now keep in mind, this was in 1968, when computers were gigantic machines that took up whole floors of universities, and were things that ordinary people only saw in movies, spinning tape heads and spitting out strips of printout. The idea of a computer being in every home probably seemed like science fiction to most people back then. That Licklider could then predict--prior to the invention of the mouse or the Internet--what he did about the future is incredible. And I'm not just saying the guy predicted computers would get smaller, or that there'd be one in every home. If you read the entire paper I linked to above, you'll see that he predicts the following:
1) Office suites like Microsoft Office
2) Chat rooms and dating sites
3) Audio and video on a computer and download sites like YouTube
4) Porn (and other base human desires like gambling) taking over this future network
5) A commercial use of the network
6) A disparity between wealthy humans who could afford computers and the network and those who couldn't (Today this is often referred to as the "Digital Divide.").
7. Denial of service attacks on computer networks (The dude not only was discussing a hypothetical network, but how to hypothetically hack his hypothetical network).
So I want to recognize the mouse on its big day, but more than that, I want to recognize people like Licklider who could see so clearly what the world would be like today.